Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces odds, picks and predictions

The Atlanta Dream (10-20) and Las Vegas Aces (18-12) meet Friday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay Hotel and Casino. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ION). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dream vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 1-1
After a 3-game win streak coming out of the Olympics break, the Dream has dropped 3 consecutive games, including the road trip opener in Seattle on Wednesday. However, the Dream did cover the 8.5-point spread as underdogs in the 85-81 loss to the Storm as the Over (156.5) cashed.
Atlanta has found plenty of success on the road lately, going 6-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 8 away from home, while the Over-Under has split 4-4 in those outings.
The Aces have also had some difficulties lately, winning just once in the past 4 outings. Vegas lost 93-90 in Dallas on Tuesday night despite the fact A’ja Wilson dropped 42 points on 16-of-22 shooting. She also had 6 boards, 3 blocked shots and 2 assists with a steal in 37 minutes.
Las Vegas is just 2-5 straight up (SU) in the past 7 games, and it has failed to cover in each of the previous 9 outings.
These teams last met July 12 in the Atlanta, with the Aces coming away with an 84-70 win, but the Dream held on for the cover as 14.5-point underdogs at most shops. The Under (169.5) cashed in that one, as well as the 1st meeting in Atlanta on May 31. Atlanta won 78-74 as an 8-point ‘dog in that one.
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:41 p.m. ET.
Aces 83, Dream 76
Playing Las Vegas (-700), and risking 7 times your potential return, is a very risky proposition. First off, the Aces haven’t been playing very good basketball, and second, it’s never a good idea to risk so much for such a small return.
Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, backing the Aces sucks all of the value out of your ticket.
AVOID.
Take ATLANTA +10.5 (-112) catching more than 5 buckets in Friday’s battle.
The Dream have been red-hot on the road, at least against the number, going 6-1-1 ATS in the past 8 games away from home. Meanwhile, the Aces -10.5 (-108) have failed to cover in 9 consecutive games. While, yes, Las Vegas is due, it hasn’t shown any signs of snapping out of its funk lately.
UNDER 165.5 (-110) is a solid play, as long as Wilson doesn’t go off for a 2nd straight game.
Even with Wilson’s amazing stat line, the Over (181) just barely connected in the 93-90 loss in Dallas, and the Wings are substantially worse than the Dream defensively. The Under is still 7-3 across the past 10 games for the Aces, too, including the most recent matchup with the Dream on July 12.
For the Dream, the Under is on a 3-1-1 run in the past 5 games, while going 7-3-1 in the previous 11 outings.
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